Benfica vs OFI: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for OFI. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica vs OFI?
Benfica is a heavy favourite: 2,460 Elo points against 2,026, a 433-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica vs OFI
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 36João Palhinha
- 27Rafa
- 25G. Prestianni
- 18L. Barreiro
- 10H. Sudakov
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 26S. Dahl
- 6A. Bah
- 3A. Circati
- 24Samuel Soares
OFI
3-4-3- 10Aitor Cantalapiedra
- 11T. Fountas
- 19K. Kodro
- 41A. Bouchalakis
- 24L. Dickmann
- 3N. Athanasiou
- 14T. Androutsos
- 15A. Poungouras
- 5K. Kostoulas
- 2K. Krizmanić
- 31N. Christogeorgos
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; OFI have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 3.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; OFI score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 3.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| OFI | 1.5 | 1.2 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica sit 7th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and OFI sit 9th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
A question about Benfica vs OFI?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica vs OFI?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 3% for OFI.
- Where and when is Benfica vs OFI played?
- Benfica vs OFI is played on December 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.