Benfica vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for SC Braga. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica vs SC Braga?
Benfica starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,417 vs 2,244).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica vs SC Braga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica
4-2-3-1- 14V. Pavlidis
- 25G. Prestianni
- 36João Palhinha
- 27Rafa
- 18L. Barreiro
- 10H. Sudakov
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 26S. Dahl
- 6A. Bah
- 2C. Lenglet
- 24Samuel Soares
SC Braga
3-4-3- 10Pau Victor
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby
- 23D. Huseinbašić
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 22Sergio Barcia
- 44A. Bajrami
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; SC Braga have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Benfica wins, 3 draws, 1 SC Braga win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Benfica 2-2 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Benfica 1-3 SC Braga | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 28, 2025 | SC Braga 2-2 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | SC Braga 1-1 Benfica | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Benfica 1-0 SC Braga | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Benfica 3-0 SC Braga | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 3.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 3.2 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.2 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica sit 2nd in Primeira Liga (19 points from 8 matches) and SC Braga sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Benfica vs SC Braga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benfica the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for SC Braga.
- Where and when is Benfica vs SC Braga played?
- Benfica vs SC Braga is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.