Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueMatchday 6Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok
The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jagiellonia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,780 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Jagiellonia (1,968) and Crystal Palace (1,993).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jagiellonia
4-3-3- 7K. Szmyt
- 99N. Prelec
- 10J. Agbonifo
- 11Jesús Imaz
- 19A. Klynge
- 6T. Romanczuk
- 27Rodrigo Conceição
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
- 44A. Konstantopoulos
- 3D. Stojinović
- 50S. Abramowicz
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 14J. Mateta
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 23Q. Timber
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 5A. Disasi
- 1D. Henderson
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Crystal Palace have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia sit 29th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 4 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 21st (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace played?
- Jagiellonia vs Crystal Palace is played on December 10, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.