Benfica vs Real Madrid: result 4-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 8Kick-off on January 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
Full time
What was the result of Benfica vs Real Madrid?
Benfica won 4-2 on January 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 30′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 36′A. SchjelderupBenfica
- 45′V. PavlidisBenfica (pen.)
- 54′A. SchjelderupBenfica
- 58′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid
- 90′A. TrubinBenfica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Real Madrid have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Estrela(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 1-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 6-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-3 | Super Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica sit 24th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 28, 2026Arsenal3-2Kairat Almaty
- Jan 28, 2026Manchester City2-0Galatasaray
- Jan 28, 2026Paris Saint Germain1-1Newcastle
- Jan 28, 2026Monaco0-0Juventus
- Jan 28, 2026Borussia Dortmund0-2Inter
- Jan 28, 2026Bayer Leverkusen3-0Villarreal
- Jan 28, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt0-2Tottenham
- Jan 28, 2026Liverpool6-0Qarabag