Benfica vs Toulouse: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeagueKnockout Round Play-offsKick-off on February 15, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
Full time
What was the result of Benfica vs Toulouse?
Benfica won 2-1 on February 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 68′Á. Di MaríaBenfica (pen.)
- 75′M. DeslerToulouse
- 90′Á. Di MaríaBenfica (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Toulouse have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Vizela(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Feb 4, 2024 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Estrela(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Estoril(home) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Nantes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Reims(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Lens(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Rouen(away) | 3-3 | Coupe de France |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Metz(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toulouse score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Toulouse | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy