Sölvesborg vs Berga: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 23Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Svarta Led, Sölvesborg
The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Sölvesborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sölvesborg vs Berga?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Sölvesborg (1,398) and Berga (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sölvesborg have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Berga have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlshamn(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nosaby(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Österlen(away) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Räppe(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torns(away) | 4-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sölvesborg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Berga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Berga 3-2 Sölvesborg | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 27, 2025 | Berga 1-3 Sölvesborg | Svenska Cupen |
| Jul 7, 2021 | Sölvesborg 4-2 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 24, 2021 | Berga 5-1 Sölvesborg | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Berga 1-0 Sölvesborg | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 5, 2018 | Sölvesborg 0-1 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Sölvesborg score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Berga score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sölvesborg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Berga | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sölvesborg sit 12th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (13 points from 13 matches) and Berga sit 7th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Berga | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Berga | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 | Sölvesborg | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 30 | 19 |
| 12 | Sölvesborg | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 23 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sölvesborg vs Berga?
- The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Sölvesborg.
- Where and when is Sölvesborg vs Berga played?
- Sölvesborg vs Berga is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Svarta Led, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.