Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Arosa played?

Marino de Luanco vs Arosa is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marino de Luanco vs Arosa: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco

Marino de Luanco

Arosa

The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Arosa?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,875) and Arosa (1,903).

Marino de Luanco win39 %

Draw28 %

Arosa win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arosa have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino de Luanco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Langreo(home)	6-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Ponferradina(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Real Avilés(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Sporting Gijon(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Arosa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Pontevedra(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Celtiga(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026	Cambados(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Boiro(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Barco(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marino de Luanco win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Arosa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 30, 2022	Arosa 2-1 Marino de Luanco	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2021	Marino de Luanco 0-2 Arosa	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Arosa vs Marino de Luanco on Jan 30, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Marino de Luanco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marino de Luanco	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Arosa	1.7	0.8	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Marino de Luanco	34	11	12	11	31	26	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Arosa?: The Footlab model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Arosa.
Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Arosa played?: Marino de Luanco vs Arosa is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.