Marino de Luanco vs Arosa: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Miramar, Luanco
The Footlab AI model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Arosa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino de Luanco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Arosa?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Marino de Luanco (1,875) and Arosa (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino de Luanco vs Arosa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino de Luanco
Not enough data to predict the Marino de Luanco lineup.
Arosa
Not enough data to predict the Arosa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino de Luanco have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Arosa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanera(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bergantiños(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 2-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marino de Luanco wins, 0 draws, 2 Arosa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Arosa 2-1 Marino de Luanco | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Marino de Luanco 0-2 Arosa | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arosa vs Marino de Luanco on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Marino de Luanco score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arosa score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino de Luanco | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Arosa | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino de Luanco sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Arosa sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Marino de Luanco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 17 | Arosa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Marino de Luanco vs Arosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino de Luanco vs Arosa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino de Luanco the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Arosa.
- Where and when is Marino de Luanco vs Arosa played?
- Marino de Luanco vs Arosa is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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