Where and when is Bergantiños vs Basconia played?

Bergantiños vs Basconia is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bergantiños vs Basconia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio As Eiroas, Carballo

Bergantiños

Basconia

The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bergantiños vs Basconia?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Bergantiños (1,882) and Basconia (1,962).

Bergantiños win36 %

Draw28 %

Basconia win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bergantiños have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Basconia have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bergantiños
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sámano(away)	5-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	UD Ourense(home)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Real Oviedo II(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Sarriana(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	4-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Basconia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Ejea(home)	5-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Gernika(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Sestao River(away)	2-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bergantiños	1.5	1.4	4	6/15	8/15
Basconia	2.3	1.3	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Bergantiños	34	13	9	12	44	37	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bergantiños vs Basconia?: The Footlab model makes Basconia the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Bergantiños.
Where and when is Bergantiños vs Basconia played?: Bergantiños vs Basconia is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio As Eiroas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.