Match

Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire

BerkhamstedBasingstoke Town

The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,814) and Basingstoke Town (1,716).

Berkhamsted win54 %
Draw23 %
Basingstoke Town win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Berkhamsted
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Poole Town(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Taunton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 29, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Basingstoke Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bath City(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Poole Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Evesham United(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 25, 2026Hanwell Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Berkhamsted 1-0 Basingstoke TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Nov 8, 2025Basingstoke Town 2-1 BerkhamstedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Berkhamsted1.71.368/158/15
Basingstoke Town1.71.749/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Basingstoke Town4202666
20Berkhamsted4103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town.
Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town played?
Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Berkhamsted and Basingstoke Town

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