Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,814) and Basingstoke Town (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Berkhamsted 1-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 2-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Basingstoke Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanworth Villa
- Oct 17, 2026Bracknell TownvsChichester City
- Oct 17, 2026Evesham UnitedvsTaunton Town
- Oct 17, 2026Hanwell TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 17, 2026SholingvsUxbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Gosport BoroughvsChertsey Town
- Oct 17, 2026Chippenham TownvsPoole Town
- Oct 17, 2026Gloucester CityvsBath City