Evesham United vs Taunton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Taunton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Taunton Town?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,713) and Taunton Town (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Taunton Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Evesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Taunton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Taunton Town 0-0 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Evesham United 3-0 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Taunton Town vs Evesham United on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Taunton Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Taunton Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Taunton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Taunton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Taunton Town.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Taunton Town played?
- Evesham United vs Taunton Town is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanworth Villa
- Oct 17, 2026BerkhamstedvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bracknell TownvsChichester City
- Oct 17, 2026Hanwell TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 17, 2026SholingvsUxbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Gosport BoroughvsChertsey Town
- Oct 17, 2026Chippenham TownvsPoole Town
- Oct 17, 2026Gloucester CityvsBath City