Gloucester City vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Bath City. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Bath City?
Gloucester City starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bath City have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gloucester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2022 | Gloucester City 3-1 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Bath City 3-3 Gloucester City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 2, 2014 | Bath City 3-1 Gloucester City | FA Trophy |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Gloucester City 0-0 Bath City | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gloucester City vs Bath City on Jul 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Bath City played?
- Gloucester City vs Bath City is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Havant & WvillevsHanworth Villa
- Oct 17, 2026BerkhamstedvsBasingstoke Town
- Oct 17, 2026Bracknell TownvsChichester City
- Oct 17, 2026Evesham UnitedvsTaunton Town
- Oct 17, 2026Hanwell TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 17, 2026SholingvsUxbridge
- Oct 17, 2026Gosport BoroughvsChertsey Town
- Oct 17, 2026Chippenham TownvsPoole Town