Berkhamsted vs Gloucester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Gloucester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Gloucester City?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,851) and Gloucester City (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Gloucester City have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gloucester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Berkhamsted 1-0 Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Gloucester City 3-3 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Gloucester City on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Gloucester City sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Gloucester City?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Gloucester City.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Gloucester City played?
- Berkhamsted vs Gloucester City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Taunton TownvsHavant & Wville
- Feb 27, 2027Basingstoke TownvsChertsey Town
- Feb 27, 2027Bracknell TownvsEvesham United
- Feb 27, 2027Chichester CityvsFrome Town
- Feb 27, 2027Hanwell TownvsGosport Borough
- Feb 27, 2027Poole TownvsBath City
- Feb 27, 2027Yate TownvsUxbridge
- Feb 27, 2027Chippenham TownvsWimborne Town