Match

Poole Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownBath City

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Bath City?

Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,737).

Poole Town win59 %
Draw22 %
Bath City win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bath City have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Bath City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Sholing(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Farnborough(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bath City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2014Poole Town 0-2 Bath CityFA Cup
Sep 27, 2014Bath City 1-1 Poole TownFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Bath City on Sep 30, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Bath City1.31.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bath City4211437
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Bath City?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Bath City.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Bath City played?
Poole Town vs Bath City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Poole Town and Bath City

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