Poole Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Bath City?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,856 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bath City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Poole Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2014 | Poole Town 0-2 Bath City | FA Cup |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Bath City 1-1 Poole Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Bath City on Sep 30, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Bath City played?
- Poole Town vs Bath City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Taunton TownvsHavant & Wville
- Feb 27, 2027BerkhamstedvsGloucester City
- Feb 27, 2027Basingstoke TownvsChertsey Town
- Feb 27, 2027Bracknell TownvsEvesham United
- Feb 27, 2027Chichester CityvsFrome Town
- Feb 27, 2027Hanwell TownvsGosport Borough
- Feb 27, 2027Yate TownvsUxbridge
- Feb 27, 2027Chippenham TownvsWimborne Town