Yate Town vs Uxbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Uxbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Uxbridge?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,811) and Uxbridge (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Uxbridge have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 5-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Yate Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Uxbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Yate Town 2-0 Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Uxbridge 1-3 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Uxbridge on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Uxbridge score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Uxbridge | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Uxbridge sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uxbridge | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Uxbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Uxbridge.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Uxbridge played?
- Yate Town vs Uxbridge is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Taunton TownvsHavant & Wville
- Feb 27, 2027BerkhamstedvsGloucester City
- Feb 27, 2027Basingstoke TownvsChertsey Town
- Feb 27, 2027Bracknell TownvsEvesham United
- Feb 27, 2027Chichester CityvsFrome Town
- Feb 27, 2027Hanwell TownvsGosport Borough
- Feb 27, 2027Poole TownvsBath City
- Feb 27, 2027Chippenham TownvsWimborne Town