Match

Beroe vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

BeroeNesebar

The Footlab AI model makes Beroe the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Beroe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Nesebar?

On Elo ratings, Beroe has 1,632 points and Nesebar 1,661.

51%26%23%
Beroe winDrawNesebar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Beroe vs Nesebar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Beroe

4-3-3
  1. 10Ismael Ferrer
  2. 9Cheikh Diamanka
  3. 20Nikolay Ivaylov Georgiev
  1. 21N. Bandev
  2. 8Wesley Dual da Rocha
  3. 23H. El Yahyaoui
  1. 24H. Mitev
  2. 4D. Dinev
  3. 17G. Valchev
  4. 2Lachezar Mihaylov
  1. 1I. Goshev

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nesebar have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Marek(away)2-3Second League
Oct 4, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)2-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Yantra 2019(home)1-0Second League
Sep 20, 2026Nesebar(away)3-4Second League
Sep 13, 2026Sportist Svoge(home)1-0Second League
Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Beroe wins, 0 draws, 1 Nesebar win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Nesebar 4-3 BeroeSecond League

Last archived meeting: Nesebar vs Beroe on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Beroe1.41.267/158/15
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 8th in Second League (18 points from 12 matches) and Nesebar sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
8Beroe12534181518

A question about Beroe vs Nesebar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Nesebar?
The Footlab AI model makes Beroe the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Beroe vs Nesebar played?
Beroe vs Nesebar is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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