Where and when is Beroe vs Nesebar played?

Beroe vs Nesebar is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Beroe vs Nesebar: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora

Beroe

Nesebar

The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Beroe vs Nesebar?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Beroe (1,657) and Nesebar (1,707).

Beroe win39 %

Draw28 %

Nesebar win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beroe have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nesebar have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Beroe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Spartak Pleven(home)	3-0	Second League
Aug 14, 2026	Fratria(away)	0-2	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Ludogorets II(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 1, 2026	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)	0-1	Second League
Jul 24, 2026	Hebar 1918(home)	2-1	Second League

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Beroe score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Beroe	1.1	0.9	6	5/15	7/15
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Beroe sit 6th in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Nesebar sit 4th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
6	Beroe	5	3	0	2	7	4	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Beroe vs Nesebar?: The Footlab model makes Beroe the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Beroe vs Nesebar played?: Beroe vs Nesebar is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Beroe, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.