Match

Rilski Sportist vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov

Rilski SportistMarek

The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Marek?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Rilski Sportist (1,582) and Marek (1,644).

Rilski Sportist win41 %
Draw29 %
Marek win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rilski Sportist
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Montana(home)2-1Second League
Aug 15, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)1-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)2-2Second League
Aug 1, 2026Fratria(away)0-1Second League
Jul 28, 2026Ludogorets II(home)0-1Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rilski Sportist win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2024Marek 3-0 Rilski SportistFriendlies Clubs
Apr 7, 2021Rilski Sportist 0-2 MarekThird League - Southwest
Oct 7, 2020Marek 3-2 Rilski SportistThird League - Southwest
Aug 31, 2019Marek 2-1 Rilski SportistThird League - Southwest
Mar 9, 2019Rilski Sportist 0-0 MarekThird League - Southwest
Aug 22, 2018Marek 0-1 Rilski SportistThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Marek vs Rilski Sportist on Feb 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rilski Sportist1.01.227/156/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rilski Sportist sit 14th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Marek5203666
14Rilski Sportist5122565

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Marek.
Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Marek played?
Rilski Sportist vs Marek is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rilski Sportist and Marek

Ready to know everything about football?