Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Albena-1, Albena
The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Fratria starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marek(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Fratria win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Fratria 3-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Fratria | Second League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 Fratria | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Fratria 0-1 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria sit 3rd in Second League (10 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
- Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Albena-1, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027BeroevsNesebar
- Apr 10, 2027Ludogorets IIvsSpartak Pleven
- Apr 10, 2027CSKA Sofia IIvsDobrudzha
- Apr 10, 2027Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsYantra 2019
- Apr 10, 2027Hebar 1918vsMontana
- Apr 10, 2027VihrenvsSportist Svoge
- Apr 10, 2027Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Apr 10, 2027Rilski SportistvsMarek