Where and when is Nesebar vs Vihren played?

Nesebar vs Vihren is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nesebar vs Vihren: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

Nesebar

Vihren

The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Vihren. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Vihren?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Nesebar (1,708) and Vihren (1,715).

Nesebar win46 %

Draw27 %

Vihren win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Vihren have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pirin Blagoevgrad(home)	7-0	Second League
Aug 16, 2026	Sportist Svoge(away)	1-0	Second League
Aug 10, 2026	Dobrudzha(home)	2-0	Second League
Aug 4, 2026	Montana(away)	1-3	Second League
Jul 25, 2026	Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)	1-5	Second League

Vihren
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Ludogorets II(away)	2-0	Second League
Aug 9, 2026	Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)	1-1	Second League
Aug 2, 2026	Hebar 1918(away)	3-2	Second League
Jul 28, 2026	CSKA Sofia II(home)	1-1	Second League
Jul 4, 2026	Rilski Sportist(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 3.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nesebar	3.7	1.1	7	7/15	11/15
Vihren	1.5	1.0	4	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 3rd in Second League (9 points from 5 matches) and Vihren sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Nesebar	5	3	0	2	12	8	9
6	Vihren	4	2	2	0	7	4	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Vihren?: The Footlab model makes Nesebar the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Vihren.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Vihren played?: Nesebar vs Vihren is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.