Match

Nesebar vs Vihren: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

NesebarVihren

The Footlab AI model makes Vihren the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nesebar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vihren wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Vihren?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Nesebar (1,661) and Vihren (1,708).

34%28%38%
Nesebar winDrawVihren win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nesebar vs Vihren

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Vihren

4-3-3
  1. 8Mario Ivov
  2. 29P. Yordanov
  3. 23D. Manolev
  1. 18A. Tungarov
  2. 73V. Bengyuzov
  3. 7Monir Al Badarin
  1. 21A. Bashliev
  2. 26K. Hadzhiev
  3. 6A. Bastunov
  4. 13A. Trenkov
  1. 1S. Nistorov

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Vihren have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League
Vihren
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Yantra 2019(away)0-1Second League
Oct 3, 2026Botev Novi Pazar(away)4-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Nesebar(home)2-0Second League
Sep 21, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)2-3Second League
Sep 13, 2026Dobrudzha(home)2-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Nesebar wins, 0 draws, 1 Vihren win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Vihren 2-0 NesebarSecond League

Last archived meeting: Vihren vs Nesebar on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vihren score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15
Vihren1.91.148/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 7th in Second League (18 points from 12 matches) and Vihren sit 2nd (24 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Vihren12732251224
7Nesebar12534201718

A question about Nesebar vs Vihren?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Vihren?
The Footlab AI model makes Vihren the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nesebar.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Vihren played?
Nesebar vs Vihren is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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