Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Efbet Arena, Burgas
The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (1,689) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hebar 1918(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beroe(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | Second League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Cup |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2-3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas sit 15th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 1st (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 15 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Chernomorets 1919 Burgas the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
- Where and when is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Efbet Arena, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.