Flamurtari vs Pogradeci: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Flamurtari, Vlorë
The Footlab AI model makes Flamurtari the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Pogradeci. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flamurtari wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flamurtari vs Pogradeci?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Flamurtari (1,726) and Pogradeci (1,758).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Flamurtari vs Pogradeci
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Flamurtari
4-3-3- 76E. Maksuti
- 14E. C. Ememe
- 26A. Koxy
- 25D. Bangaly
- 11J. Mbé
- 44D. Chantakias
- 4M. Raso
- 5D. Pjeshka
- 6L. Squadrone
- 18E. Veiga
- 12I. Aleksovski
Pogradeci
4-3-3- 8Georgios Lleshaj
- 90K. Preknicaj
- 20Indio Oliveira
- 97M. Shanaj
- 7B. Greca
- 31Suleiman Danladi
- 2K. Toshevski
- 18A. Samake
- 13Vilson Lila
- 22P. Kasmollari
- 24Marin Stanic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamurtari have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pogradeci have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sopoti Librazhd(home) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Gramshi(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pogradeci(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Burreli(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Korabi Peshkopi(away) | 2-0 | 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Delvina(home) | 7-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Flamurtari(home) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | FK Kukesi(away) | 3-0 | 1st Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kastrioti Krujë(home) | 2-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Flamurtari win, 2 draws, 3 Pogradeci wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pogradeci 0-0 Flamurtari | 1st Division |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Flamurtari 1-2 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Pogradeci 0-0 Flamurtari | 1st Division |
| Oct 21, 2024 | Flamurtari 4-0 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Flamurtari 0-1 Pogradeci | 1st Division |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Pogradeci 2-1 Flamurtari | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Pogradeci vs Flamurtari on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flamurtari score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pogradeci score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamurtari | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Pogradeci | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamurtari sit 6th in 1st Division (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogradeci sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Flamurtari | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
A question about Flamurtari vs Pogradeci?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flamurtari vs Pogradeci?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flamurtari the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Pogradeci.
- Where and when is Flamurtari vs Pogradeci played?
- Flamurtari vs Pogradeci is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Flamurtari, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.