BFA vs Minija: result 2-3 and analysis
1 LygaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 30, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)BFA Maniežas, Vilnius
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What was the result of BFA vs Minija?
Minija won 2-3 on September 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 12′?Minija (pen.)
- 32′?Minija
- 52′?Minija
- 72′?BFA
- 75′?BFA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFA have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Minija have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2022 | Nevėžis(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 5-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Ekranas(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Be1 NFA(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Garliava(away) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2022 | Ekranas(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Be1 NFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Garliava(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Dainava(away) | 1-5 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Nevėžis(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 BFA win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Minija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2022 | Minija 3-1 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2021 | Minija 3-0 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 3, 2021 | BFA 0-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Minija 2-2 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2020 | BFA 1-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 27, 2019 | Minija 2-0 BFA | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
BFA score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Minija score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFA | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Minija | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFA sit 7th in 1 Lyga (35 points from 21 matches) and Minija sit 1st (52 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 52 |
| 7 | BFA | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 35 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy