Jonava vs BFA: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab AI model makes Jonava the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for BFA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jonava wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,267 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jonava vs BFA?
On Elo ratings, Jonava has 1,294 points and BFA 1,429.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jonava vs BFA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jonava
4-3-3- 11E. Mickevičius
- 9A. Raginis
- 99M. Ganusauskas
- 44T. Dombrauskis
- 77A. Stulga
- 23A. Rocys
- 12L. Čerkauskas
- 92A. Dubickas
- 21G. Nikonovas
- 14P. Nainys
- 1V. Šivickas
BFA
4-3-3- 77Z. Jurevicius
- 21R. Kudzin
- 8R. Shvedchenko
- 89I. Paulikas
- 10A. Osipovic
- 53R. Vilkuotis
- 48A. Sidlauskas
- 30T. Sabitu
- 4A. Kezunas
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 76U. Semaska
Computed on October 12, 2026 at 04:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jonava have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; BFA have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jonava win, 1 draw, 4 BFA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | BFA 1-0 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | BFA 0-0 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Jonava 0-1 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Jonava 0-3 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| May 21, 2023 | BFA 2-1 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Jonava 6-0 BFA | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Jonava score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BFA score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonava | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| BFA | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jonava sit 10th in 1 Lyga (27 points from 26 matches) and BFA sit 7th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | BFA | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 10 | Jonava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 35 | 27 |
A question about Jonava vs BFA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jonava vs BFA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jonava the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for BFA.
- Where and when is Jonava vs BFA played?
- Jonava vs BFA is played on October 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.