Tauras vs Minija: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)FK Tauras dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Tauragė
The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tauras. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tauras vs Minija?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Tauras (1,474) and Minija (1,494).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tauras have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Minija have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 4-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be1 NFA(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tauras win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Minija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Minija 2-1 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Minija 1-2 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Tauras 3-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Tauras 2-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Minija 0-0 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Minija 2-4 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tauras score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Minija score 2.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tauras | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Minija | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tauras sit 3rd in 1 Lyga (39 points from 21 matches) and Minija sit 1st (52 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 52 |
| 3 | Tauras | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 23 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tauras vs Minija?
- The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tauras.
- Where and when is Tauras vs Minija played?
- Tauras vs Minija is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at FK Tauras dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.