BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava: result 2-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Full time
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils won 2-1 on August 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′D. AyebadiepreyeBFC Daugavpils
- 48′J. YakubuBFC Daugavpils
- 56′R. MeļķisFS Jelgava
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a BFC Daugavpils win at 53%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FS Jelgava have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 4-0 | Virsliga |
| Jul 4, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 3-1 | Virsliga |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Riga(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Riga(away) | 0-3 | Virsliga |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 5-1 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BFC Daugavpils wins, 2 draws, 1 FS Jelgava win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | FS Jelgava 1-1 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| Apr 16, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils 2-0 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| May 25, 2025 | BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| Apr 10, 2025 | FS Jelgava 4-1 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FS Jelgava score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| FS Jelgava | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Daugavpils sit 5th in Virsliga (42 points from 32 matches) and FS Jelgava sit 7th (32 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 42 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 53 | 32 |
A question about BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy