BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United: result 2-1 and analysis
VirsligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Full time
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
BFC Daugavpils won 2-1 on April 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 23′A. GarzhaBFC Daugavpils
- 44′R. NdjikiBFC Daugavpils
- 57′K. ČudarsOgre United (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Ogre United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 1-4 | Virsliga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Riga(away) | 2-4 | Virsliga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Super Nova(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Mar 20, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Tukums(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | Virsliga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ogre United score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ogre United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Daugavpils sit 4th in Virsliga (37 points from 27 matches) and Ogre United sit 10th (14 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 37 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 68 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy