Ogre United vs Auda: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ogre United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Auda wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ogre United vs Auda?
Auda is a heavy favourite: 1,813 Elo points against 1,465, a 348-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ogre United vs Auda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ogre United
4-3-3- 22L. Estevez Fernandez
- 9J. Fokam-Sandeu
- 7I. Pūlis
- 30A. Doroshenko
- 8T. Mickēvičs
- 19K. Čudars
- 55A. Kudeļkins
- 13K. Gulbis
- 5R. Šibass
- 27A. Molotkovs
- 1Ņ. Parfjonovs
Auda
4-3-3- 47K. Kone
- 7A. Appiah
- 23Mahamoud Fofana
- 25B. Diedhiou
- 8E. Bongemba
- 17E. Dašķevičs
- 4M. Ouedraogo
- 3D. Balodis
- 71O. Rubenis
- 6R. Kragliks
- 98N. Puriņš
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ogre United have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Auda have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Super Nova(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ogre United(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Riga(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ogre United wins, 1 draw, 2 Auda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Auda 1-0 Ogre United | Virsliga |
| May 30, 2026 | Auda 2-0 Ogre United | Virsliga |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ogre United 1-1 Auda | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ogre United score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Auda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre United | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Auda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ogre United sit 10th in Virsliga (18 points from 32 matches) and Auda sit 3rd (64 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 64 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 78 | 18 |
A question about Ogre United vs Auda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ogre United vs Auda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Ogre United.
- Where and when is Ogre United vs Auda played?
- Ogre United vs Auda is played on October 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.