BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United: result 3-1 and analysis
CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Full time
What was the result of BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
BFC Daugavpils won 3-1 on August 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 14′M. KalninsOgre United
- 39′A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils
- 50′D. AyebadiepreyeBFC Daugavpils
- 89′D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a BFC Daugavpils win at 76%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
BFC Daugavpils
- 3D. Ayebadiepreye
- 4W. Mukwelle
- 9A. Traore
- 19E. Pinaskins
- 6Ņ. Barkovskis
- 8R. Skrebels
- 10E. Ivanovs
- 11J. Yakubu
- 5Papa
- 37Gļebs Mihaļcovs
- 12J. Beks
Ogre United
- 9J. Fokam-Sandeu
- 14R. Adītājs
- 22L. Estevez Fernandez
- 8T. Mickēvičs
- 10M. Kalnins
- 71A. Marchuk
- 3T. Marusiy
- 5R. Šibass
- 37Martins Lormanis
- 55A. Kudeļkins
- 20K. Biscuhis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Daugavpils have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ogre United have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tukums(home) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 4-0 | Virsliga |
| Jul 4, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 3-1 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-4 | Virsliga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Grobiņa(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 0-4 | Virsliga |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Jun 30, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 0-4 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 BFC Daugavpils wins, 0 draws, 0 Ogre United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ogre United 0-4 BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga |
| May 21, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 3-1 Ogre United | Virsliga |
| Apr 7, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils 2-1 Ogre United | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Daugavpils score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ogre United score 1.1 and concede 3.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ogre United | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy