Where and when is BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?

BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Preußenstadion, Berlin

BFC Preussen

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for BFC Preussen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,841).

BFC Preussen win22 %

Draw22 %

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Preussen have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BFC Preussen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Greifswalder FC(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	1-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 15, 2026	Magdeburg II(home)	4-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	Tasmania Berlin(home)	6-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 2, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 BFC Preussen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0-1 BFC Preussen	Regionalliga - Nordost
Sep 13, 2025	BFC Preussen 2-4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	Regionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BFC Preussen on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BFC Preussen score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BFC Preussen	1.6	1.7	1	9/15	9/15
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2.7	1.1	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BFC Preussen sit 17th in Regionalliga - Nordost (2 points from 6 matches) and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	6	5	1	0	22	4	16
17	BFC Preussen	6	0	2	4	4	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt?: The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for BFC Preussen.
Where and when is BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt played?: BFC Preussen vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Preußenstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.