Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,907) and Tasmania Berlin (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
How many goals should we expect?
Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greifswalder FC | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tasmania Berlin | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Tasmania Berlin | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin?
- The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Tasmania Berlin.
- Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin played?
- Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsLokomotive Leipzig
- Mar 7, 2027Hallescher FCvsHertha BSC II
- Mar 7, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsChemnitzer FC
- Mar 7, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Mar 7, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 7, 2027BFC DynamovsLuckenwalde
- Mar 7, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsAltglienicke
- Mar 7, 2027Magdeburg IIvsRSV Eintracht