Match

Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Volksstadion Greifswald, Greifswald

Greifswalder FCTasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Greifswalder FC (1,907) and Tasmania Berlin (1,818).

Greifswalder FC win51 %
Draw24 %
Tasmania Berlin win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greifswalder FC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greifswalder FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026BFC Preussen(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Altglienicke(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)4-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)3-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026Hallescher FC(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Tasmania Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Luckenwalde(away)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)0-6Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-5Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

Greifswalder FC score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Greifswalder FC2.71.3410/1510/15
Tasmania Berlin2.32.539/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greifswalder FC sit 8th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Greifswalder FC52211178
16Tasmania Berlin51046183

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin?
The Footlab model makes Greifswalder FC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin played?
Greifswalder FC vs Tasmania Berlin is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion Greifswald, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Greifswalder FC and Tasmania Berlin

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