BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, Berlin
The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate BFC Dynamo (1,849) and Luckenwalde (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BFC Dynamo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 BFC Dynamo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Luckenwalde 0-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 25, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 0-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 11, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 0-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Luckenwalde 0-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Luckenwalde 2-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 8, 2023 | BFC Dynamo 4-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BFC Dynamo score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Dynamo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BFC Dynamo sit 9th in Regionalliga - Nordost (8 points from 6 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | BFC Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde played?
- BFC Dynamo vs Luckenwalde is played on March 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportforum Hohenschönhausen, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsLokomotive Leipzig
- Mar 7, 2027Hallescher FCvsHertha BSC II
- Mar 7, 2027FC Carl Zeiss JenavsChemnitzer FC
- Mar 7, 2027BFC PreussenvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- Mar 7, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFSV Zwickau
- Mar 7, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsAltglienicke
- Mar 7, 2027Greifswalder FCvsTasmania Berlin
- Mar 7, 2027Magdeburg IIvsRSV Eintracht