Billericay Town vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AGP Arena, Billericay, Essex
The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Billericay Town vs Horsham?
Billericay Town starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Billericay Town have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 4-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| May 4, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Billericay Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Horsham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Horsham 6-0 Billericay Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Horsham 1-0 Billericay Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Billericay Town 2-1 Horsham | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Billericay Town 1-2 Horsham | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Horsham 0-0 Billericay Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Horsham 3-1 Billericay Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Horsham vs Billericay Town on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Billericay Town score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Billericay Town sit 8th in National League - South (6 points from 3 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Billericay Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Billericay Town vs Horsham?
- The Footlab model makes Billericay Town the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Billericay Town vs Horsham played?
- Billericay Town vs Horsham is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AGP Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Maidstone UtdvsChesham United
- Nov 28, 2026TorquayvsChelmsford City
- Nov 28, 2026BraintreevsAFC Totton
- Nov 28, 2026Slough TownvsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 28, 2026Weston-super-MarevsMaidenhead
- Nov 28, 2026Truro CityvsDover
- Nov 28, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 28, 2026SalisburyvsDagenham & Redbridge