Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,661).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maidstone Utd
Not enough data to predict the Maidstone Utd lineup.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chesham United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Maidstone Utd win, 2 draws, 2 Chesham United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chesham United 4-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Chesham United 2-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 2-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Chesham United 0-2 Maidstone Utd | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 2nd in National League - South (32 points from 16 matches) and Chesham United sit 21st (11 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maidstone Utd | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 32 |
| 21 | Chesham United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 33 | 11 |
A question about Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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