Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Maidstone Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Chesham United 4-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-0 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Chesham United 2-0 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 2-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Chesham United 0-2 Maidstone Utd | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Maidstone Utd on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidstone Utd sit 5th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Chesham United is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026Billericay TownvsHorsham
- Nov 28, 2026Slough TownvsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 28, 2026Weston-super-MarevsMaidenhead
- Nov 28, 2026Truro CityvsDover
- Nov 28, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHampton & Richmond
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