Truro City vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall
The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1. If Truro City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Truro City vs Dover?
On Elo ratings, Truro City has 1,888 points and Dover 1,834.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Truro City vs Dover
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Truro City
4-3-3- 15L. Jephcott
- 25S. Donnellan
- 37Tom Tweedy
- 2Z. Bell
- 33T. Dean
- 23B. Starkie
- 26M. Kinsey-Wellings
- 20R. Law
- 4W. Dean
- 5T. Harrison
- 1D. Lavercombe
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Dover have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 3-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cirencester Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Truro City wins, 0 draws, 0 Dover wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | Truro City 1-0 Dover | National League - South |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Dover 0-2 Truro City | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Truro City score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | 2.1 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (21 points from 11 matches) and Dover sit 8th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
A question about Truro City vs Dover?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Dover?
- The Footlab AI model makes Truro City the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Dover.
- Where and when is Truro City vs Dover played?
- Truro City vs Dover is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026TorquayvsChelmsford City
- Nov 28, 2026BraintreevsAFC Totton
- Nov 28, 2026Billericay TownvsHorsham
- Nov 28, 2026Slough TownvsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 28, 2026Weston-super-MarevsMaidenhead
- Nov 28, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 28, 2026SalisburyvsDagenham & Redbridge