Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,829) and Maidenhead (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Maidenhead 1-2 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Weston-super-Mare 0-3 Maidenhead | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Weston-super-Mare on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead played?
- Weston-super-Mare vs Maidenhead is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026BraintreevsAFC Totton
- Nov 28, 2026Billericay TownvsHorsham
- Nov 28, 2026Slough TownvsTonbridge Angels
- Nov 28, 2026Truro CityvsDover
- Nov 28, 2026Folkestone InvictavsHampton & Richmond
- Nov 28, 2026SalisburyvsDagenham & Redbridge