Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Shepherds Park, Auckland
The Footlab AI model makes Birkenhead United the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Eastern Suburbs. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birkenhead United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Birkenhead United (1,816) and Eastern Suburbs (1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birkenhead United
Not enough data to predict the Birkenhead United lineup.
Eastern Suburbs
Not enough data to predict the Eastern Suburbs lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birkenhead United have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Eastern Suburbs have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix II(away) | 1-0 | National League - National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cashmere Technical(home) | 0-4 | National League - National |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Western Springs(home) | 3-1 | National League - National |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix II(away) | 3-2 | National League - National |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 1-4 | National League - National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Auckland City(home) | 2-4 | National League - National |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 0-0 | National League - National |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Birkenhead United(away) | 2-0 | National League - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Western Springs(home) | 2-2 | National League - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Auckland City(away) | 1-2 | National League - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Birkenhead United wins, 1 draw, 3 Eastern Suburbs wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Birkenhead United 0-2 Eastern Suburbs | National League - Northern |
| May 17, 2025 | Eastern Suburbs 0-2 Birkenhead United | National League - Northern |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Eastern Suburbs 2-2 Birkenhead United | National League - National |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Birkenhead United 1-2 Eastern Suburbs | National League - Northern |
| May 4, 2024 | Eastern Suburbs 1-4 Birkenhead United | National League - Northern |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Birkenhead United 0-2 Eastern Suburbs | National League - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs on Aug 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Birkenhead United score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eastern Suburbs score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birkenhead United | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Eastern Suburbs | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birkenhead United sit 7th in National League - National (3 points from 2 matches) and Eastern Suburbs sit 8th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Birkenhead United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
A question about Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birkenhead United the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Eastern Suburbs.
- Where and when is Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs played?
- Birkenhead United vs Eastern Suburbs is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Shepherds Park, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.