Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Alabama
The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Birmingham Legion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery?
Charleston Battery starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham Legion have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Charleston Battery have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting JAX(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rhode Island(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Louisville City(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Jul 12, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 3-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Miami FC(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(away) | 1-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loudoun United(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brooklyn(home) | 5-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Birmingham Legion win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Charleston Battery win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Charleston Battery 3-2 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Charleston Battery 2-1 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Birmingham Legion 0-0 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Charleston Battery 2-0 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
| May 16, 2024 | Birmingham Legion 0-1 Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Charleston Battery 2-1 Birmingham Legion | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Charleston Battery score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Charleston Battery | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham Legion sit 10th in USL Championship (12 points from 12 matches) and Charleston Battery sit 4th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 27 | 36 |
| 4 | Charleston Battery | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery?
- The Footlab model makes Charleston Battery the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Birmingham Legion.
- Where and when is Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery played?
- Birmingham Legion vs Charleston Battery is played on September 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Protective Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots