Birmingham vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Birmingham (2,015) and QPR (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birmingham vs QPR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 28J. Stansfield
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 17L. Millar
- 14J. Solis
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 20A. Cochrane
- 1J. Beadle
QPR
4-3-3- 17K. Poku
- 11P. Smyth
- 16R. Burrell
- 5R. Edwards
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 3J. Dunne
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 2K. Adamson
- 27A. Mbengue
- 1P. Charles
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; QPR have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Birmingham wins, 1 draw, 2 QPR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Birmingham 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | QPR 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | QPR 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Birmingham 0-0 QPR | Championship |
| Mar 18, 2023 | QPR 0-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Birmingham 2-0 QPR | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 7th in Championship (14 points from 9 matches) and QPR sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Birmingham vs QPR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs QPR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for QPR.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs QPR played?
- Birmingham vs QPR is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.