Match

Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The RDA Stadium, Bishop's Stortford, Hertfordshire

Bishop's StortfordBury Town

The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Bishop's Stortford. The most likely score is 0-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?

Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,659).

Bishop's Stortford win14 %
Draw22 %
Bury Town win64 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bishop's Stortford have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bishop's Stortford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Alvechurch(home)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Halesowen Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Leiston(away)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Banbury United(home)0-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 31, 2026Enfield Town(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Bury Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leamington(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Stratford Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Stamford(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Halesowen Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026AFC Sudbury(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bishop's Stortford win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bury Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Bury Town 2-0 Bishop's StortfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 22, 2025Bishop's Stortford 0-0 Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Bishop's Stortford on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bishop's Stortford score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bishop's Stortford0.71.728/156/15
Bury Town1.91.168/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bishop's Stortford sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bury Town3300519
21Bishop's Stortford3012141

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Bishop's Stortford.
Where and when is Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town played?
Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The RDA Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bishop's Stortford and Bury Town

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