Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,763) and Leighton Town (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hitchin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leighton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hitchin Town 5-0 Leighton Town | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Leighton Town 0-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town played?
- Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsRushall Olympic
- Sep 29, 2026AlvechurchvsStourbridge
- Sep 29, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStratford Town
- Sep 29, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsBury Town
- Sep 29, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsLeamington
- Sep 29, 2026Needham MarketvsStamford
- Sep 29, 2026Peterborough SportsvsRedditch United
- Sep 29, 2026Kettering TownvsAnstey Nomads