Match

Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire

Hitchin TownLeighton Town

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,763) and Leighton Town (1,845).

Hitchin Town win35 %
Draw27 %
Leighton Town win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hitchin Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Racing Club Warwick(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Redditch United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Needham Market(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026Luton(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Leighton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Worcester City(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Kettering Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Redditch United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026London Lions(home)5-0Non League Div One - Southern Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hitchin Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leighton Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Hitchin Town 5-0 Leighton TownNon League Div One - Southern Central
Oct 21, 2025Leighton Town 0-0 Hitchin TownNon League Div One - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town on Nov 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hitchin Town1.21.365/157/15
Leighton Town2.30.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Leighton Town3120435
18Hitchin Town3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town?
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hitchin Town.
Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town played?
Hitchin Town vs Leighton Town is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hitchin Town and Leighton Town

Ready to know everything about football?