Worcester City vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Worcester City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Bury Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Worcester City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,669 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,777) and Bury Town (1,779).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Worcester City vs Bury Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Worcester City
Not enough data to predict the Worcester City lineup.
Bury Town
Not enough data to predict the Bury Town lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bury Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worcester City wins, 2 draws, 0 Bury Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Worcester City 2-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Worcester City on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (13 points from 13 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 32 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 13 |
A question about Worcester City vs Bury Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Worcester City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Bury Town.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Bury Town played?
- Worcester City vs Bury Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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