Worcester City vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Claines Lane, Worcester, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worcester City vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Worcester City (1,801) and Bury Town (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worcester City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Worcester City win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Worcester City 2-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Worcester City on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worcester City sit 19th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worcester City vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Worcester City vs Bury Town played?
- Worcester City vs Bury Town is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Claines Lane, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Hitchin TownvsAnstey Nomads
- Nov 21, 2026StamfordvsLeamington
- Nov 21, 2026StourbridgevsRedditch United
- Nov 21, 2026Banbury UnitedvsAlvechurch
- Nov 21, 2026LeistonvsLeighton Town
- Nov 21, 2026Peterborough SportsvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Nov 21, 2026Rushall OlympicvsBishop's Stortford
- Nov 21, 2026Stratford TownvsHalesowen Town