Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Victoria Ground, Bromsgrove, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Bromsgrove Sporting the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington?
Bromsgrove Sporting starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bromsgrove Sporting have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Bromsgrove Sporting 0-3 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Leamington 2-0 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington on Feb 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Bromsgrove Sporting the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington played?
- Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leamington is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Victoria Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 29, 2026Hitchin TownvsLeighton Town
- Sep 29, 2026Halesowen TownvsRushall Olympic
- Sep 29, 2026AlvechurchvsStourbridge
- Sep 29, 2026Banbury UnitedvsStratford Town
- Sep 29, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsBury Town
- Sep 29, 2026Needham MarketvsStamford
- Sep 29, 2026Peterborough SportsvsRedditch United
- Sep 29, 2026Kettering TownvsAnstey Nomads