Where and when is Alvechurch vs Stourbridge played?

Alvechurch vs Stourbridge is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alvechurch vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire

Alvechurch

Stourbridge

The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,773) and Stourbridge (1,756).

Alvechurch win48 %

Draw25 %

Stourbridge win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alvechurch
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Needham Market(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Worcester City(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Kettering Town(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Kidderminster Harriers(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Stourbridge
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leiston(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Peterborough Sports(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Stamford(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026	Kidderminster Harriers(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Halesowen Town(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alvechurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Stourbridge win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 6, 2026	Stourbridge 1-1 Alvechurch	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 3, 2026	Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 29, 2025	Stourbridge 1-0 Alvechurch	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 26, 2024	Stourbridge 0-1 Alvechurch	FA Trophy
Sep 28, 2024	Alvechurch 1-2 Stourbridge	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Mar 16, 2024	Alvechurch 1-0 Stourbridge	Non League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Alvechurch on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alvechurch	1.4	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Stourbridge	1.7	1.6	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
5	Stourbridge	2	2	0	0	4	1	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?: The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Stourbridge.
Where and when is Alvechurch vs Stourbridge played?: Alvechurch vs Stourbridge is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.