Biwako Shiga vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi
The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tochigi SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Tochigi SC?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Biwako Shiga (1,713) and Tochigi SC (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tochigi SC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tochigi SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Biwako Shiga sit 6th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Biwako Shiga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Tochigi SC?
- The Footlab model makes Biwako Shiga the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tochigi SC.
- Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Tochigi SC played?
- Biwako Shiga vs Tochigi SC is played on March 13, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 13, 2027Kamatamare SanukivsKochi United
- Mar 13, 2027Ehime FCvsRoasso Kumamoto
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