Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga played?

Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SC

Biwako Shiga

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,727) and Biwako Shiga (1,711).

Tochigi SC win47 %

Draw25 %

Biwako Shiga win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Biwako Shiga have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Biwako Shiga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)	3-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Japan Soccer College(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(away)	3-2	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	0-3	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Tochigi City(away)	1-3	J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15
Biwako Shiga	1.2	2.0	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Biwako Shiga sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Biwako Shiga	3	2	0	1	6	7	6
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga?: The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Biwako Shiga.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga played?: Tochigi SC vs Biwako Shiga is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.