Tochigi SC vs Kamatamare Sanuki: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
Tochigi SC starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kamatamare Sanuki have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tochigi SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| Jul 22, 2015 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| May 17, 2015 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?
- Tochigi SC vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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