Black Bulls Maputo vs Atomic Ngome: prediction and stats
CAF Confederation Cup1st Preliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da ABB, Matola
The Footlab model makes Black Bulls Maputo the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Atomic Ngome. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Black Bulls Maputo vs Atomic Ngome?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Black Bulls Maputo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Atomic Ngome have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Rivers United(away) | 1-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rivers United(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Léopards de Dolisié(home) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Léopards de Dolisié(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | AL Masry(away) | 1-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Black Bulls Maputo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Black Bulls Maputo vs Atomic Ngome?
- The Footlab model makes Black Bulls Maputo the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Atomic Ngome.
- Where and when is Black Bulls Maputo vs Atomic Ngome played?
- Black Bulls Maputo vs Atomic Ngome is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da ABB, in the CAF Confederation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.