Blauw Geel vs Dongen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Dongen?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Blauw Geel (1,713) and Dongen (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Dongen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UNA(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Heerjansdam(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Heerjansdam(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 30, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 27, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blauw Geel win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dongen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Dongen 1-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Blauw Geel 2-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 29, 2022 | Blauw Geel 0-2 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Dongen 2-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Blauw Geel 4-0 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Blauw Geel 1-1 Dongen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dongen score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Dongen | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 16th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 1 matches) and Dongen sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dongen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Blauw Geel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Dongen?
- The Footlab model makes Dongen the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Dongen played?
- Blauw Geel vs Dongen is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.