TOGB vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, Berkel en Rodenrijs
The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for TOGB. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOGB vs Blauw Geel?
On Elo ratings, TOGB has 1,686 points and Blauw Geel 1,715.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TOGB vs Blauw Geel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOGB have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Blauw Geel have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 TOGB wins, 3 draws, 1 Blauw Geel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Blauw Geel 1-3 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 13, 2025 | TOGB 2-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 24, 2025 | Blauw Geel 3-3 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 15, 2024 | TOGB 2-2 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 25, 2024 | TOGB 0-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Blauw Geel 3-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOGB sit 15th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about TOGB vs Blauw Geel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOGB vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for TOGB.
- Where and when is TOGB vs Blauw Geel played?
- TOGB vs Blauw Geel is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.