Blauw Geel vs Gemert: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gemert. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blauw Geel wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Gemert?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Blauw Geel (1,722) and Gemert (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blauw Geel vs Gemert
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Gemert
4-3-3- 7R. Kemper
- 15Wout Barten
- 19Hazem Ben Rouba
- 9D. van Diepen
- 14M. Crommentuijn
- 8Brent Achten
- 4Lex Van Dijk
- 21Gijs Vercoelen
- 6Max Verkuijl
- 23T. Mezenberg
- 1Jeroen Keeris
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gemert have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 3-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Blauw Geel win, 0 draws, 5 Gemert wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Gemert 2-3 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Blauw Geel 1-2 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Blauw Geel 1-2 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Gemert 2-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Gemert 2-1 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Blauw Geel 2-3 Gemert | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gemert score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gemert | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 9th in Derde Divisie (12 points from 9 matches) and Gemert sit 11th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Blauw Geel vs Gemert?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Gemert?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blauw Geel the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gemert.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Gemert played?
- Blauw Geel vs Gemert is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.