Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blauw Geel
4-2-3-1- 9L. Loermans
- 11Koen van der Zanden
- 7B. van den Nieuwenhof
- 6M. van Rosmalen
- 9D. de Meij
- 8H. van Dijk
- 3R. Voets
- 4D. Arts
- 5B. Eltink
- 4M. Zeller
- 1J. Zielschot
Noordwijk
Not enough data to predict the Noordwijk lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Noordwijk have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | GOES(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Blauw Geel wins, 0 draws, 3 Noordwijk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Noordwijk 2-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Noordwijk 4-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-1 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 31, 2025 | Noordwijk 4-1 Blauw Geel | Tweede Divisie |
| May 28, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-1 Noordwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Noordwijk vs Blauw Geel on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 11 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 11th in Derde Divisie (12 points from 11 matches) and Noordwijk sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 28 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk played?
- Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.