Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, Veghel
The Footlab model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Blauw Geel (1,713) and Noordwijk (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blauw Geel have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Noordwijk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | De Treffers(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | Kloetinge(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Blauw Geel win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Noordwijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Noordwijk 2-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Noordwijk 4-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-1 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 31, 2025 | Noordwijk 4-1 Blauw Geel | Tweede Divisie |
| May 28, 2025 | Blauw Geel 2-1 Noordwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Noordwijk vs Blauw Geel on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blauw Geel score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Noordwijk score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Noordwijk | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blauw Geel sit 14th in Derde Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Noordwijk sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Blauw Geel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk?
- The Footlab model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk played?
- Blauw Geel vs Noordwijk is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.